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16 June 2025,07:46

Daily Market Analysis

Crude Oil Soars on Middle East Tensions and Supply Disruption Fears

16 June 2025, 07:46

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 Key Takeaways:

*Israel launches direct strikes on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure

*Iran’s oil refinery and fuel depots hit, threatening global energy supply

*Crude oil spikes to test key resistance amid strong bullish momentum

Market Summary:

WTI crude oil extended gains this week, rallying toward $72/bbl as escalating Middle East tensions drove Crude oil prices surged aggressively as escalating tensions between Israel and Iran raised fresh concerns over potential supply disruptions. Over the weekend, Israel launched a series of coordinated airstrikes targeting Iran’s critical oil and gas infrastructure — a major escalation that threatens to destabilize global energy markets.

According to Iran’s Ministry of Petroleum, one of the country’s main fuel depots was hit, while an oil refinery in Tehran was engulfed in flames as emergency teams scrambled to control multiple blazes. These attacks follow Israel’s earlier strikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites, including the assassination of several top military officials and nuclear scientists.

Iran, which holds the world’s second-largest proven natural gas reserves and third-largest crude oil reserves (as per the U.S. Energy Information Administration), has long been viewed as a strategic oil producer whose facilities remain vulnerable to geopolitical conflict. Israel’s latest operations appear designed to cripple Iran’s energy revenue streams, amplifying risks of a wider regional conflict.

The market has responded swiftly. Any significant damage to Iran’s energy output could reduce global supply, especially in an already tight market, thereby driving prices higher. Investors are now bracing for the possibility of retaliatory strikes and further escalation that could send oil prices into a sustained uptrend.

Technical Analysis 

Crude Oil, H4: 

Crude oil prices are currently testing the resistance level of $73.45, supported by rising bullish momentum. The MACD indicator is showing increased upward strength, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at approximately 77, suggesting overbought conditions and a potential for price consolidation or retracement.

Should prices break above $73.45 on strong volume, the next upside target may be near $79.40. Conversely, if sentiment shifts due to easing geopolitical risk, prices may correct toward support levels at $66.90 or $63.60.

As market volatility is currently driven by fundamental geopolitical developments, technical signals should be interpreted cautiously. Investors are advised to monitor official updates and exercise appropriate risk management.

Resistance Levels: 73.45, 79.40
Support Levels: 66.90, 63.60


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